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BHR Bahrain - Premier League · Spiel ·

Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Manama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–02.47 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg66%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg12%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Al-MuharraqAl-Ahli Manama
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
66% / 22% / 12%SpielergebnisHeimsieg66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Ahli Manama win (12%)Doppelte Chance1X88%1.14
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 28% · Nein 72%Beide Teams treffenNein72%1.39
2.47 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–0
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAl-Ahli Manama winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Muharraq win66%1.521.3865.2%+0.8 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Al-Ahli Manama win12%8.337.0012.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Muharraq2.09

Heim share of expected goals 84.6%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Al-Ahli Manama0.38

Auswärts share of expected goals 15.4%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 28% · Nein 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Al-Muharraq

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Al-Ahli Manama

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
12%
15
Points from supplied form
7
2.09
Expected goals
0.38
Al-MuharraqAl-Ahli Manama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Muharraq signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Ahli Manama signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Manama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Muharraq Gewinn 66%,Unentschieden 22%,Al-Ahli Manama Gewinn 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter