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BHR Bahrain - Premier League · Meci ·

Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Manama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–02.47 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde66%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți12%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Al-MuharraqAl-Ahli Manama
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub55% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
66% / 22% / 12%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Ahli Manama win (12%)Șansă dublă1X88%1.14
Peste 45% · Sub 55%Goals 2.5Sub55%1.82
Da 28% · Nu 72%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu72%1.39
2.47 total expected goalsScor corect2–0
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAl-Ahli Manama winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Muharraq win66%1.521.3865.2%+0.8 pp
Egal22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Al-Ahli Manama win12%8.337.0012.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Muharraq2.09

Gazde share of expected goals 84.6%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 45% · Sub 55%

Al-Ahli Manama0.38

Oaspeți share of expected goals 15.4%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitDa 28% · Nu 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Al-Muharraq

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Al-Ahli Manama

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Câștig probability excluding draw
12%
15
Points from supplied form
7
2.09
Expected goals
0.38
Al-MuharraqAl-Ahli Manama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Muharraq signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Ahli Manama signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Manama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Muharraq câștig 66%,Egal 22%,Al-Ahli Manama câștig 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Peste 2.5 45% · Current selection Sub