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BHR Bahrajn - Premier League · Mecz ·

Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Manama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–02.47 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy66%
Remis22%
Wygrana gości12%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Al-MuharraqAl-Ahli Manama
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
66% / 22% / 12%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Ahli Manama win (12%)Podwójna szansa1X88%1.14
Powyżej 45% · Poniżej 55%Goals 2.5Poniżej55%1.82
Tak 28% · Nie 72%Obie drużyny strzeląNie72%1.39
2.47 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–0
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAl-Ahli Manama winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Muharraq win66%1.521.3865.2%+0.8 pp
Remis22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Al-Ahli Manama win12%8.337.0012.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Muharraq2.09

Gospodarze share of expected goals 84.6%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 45% · Poniżej 55%

Al-Ahli Manama0.38

Goście share of expected goals 15.4%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitTak 28% · Nie 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Al-Muharraq

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Al-Ahli Manama

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
12%
15
Points from supplied form
7
2.09
Expected goals
0.38
Al-MuharraqAl-Ahli Manama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Muharraq signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Ahli Manama signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Manama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Muharraq wygrana 66%,Remis 22%,Al-Ahli Manama wygrana 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Powyżej 2.5 45% · Current selection Poniżej