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ITA Italy Serie C Cup · Maç ·

Alcione Milano vs Novara

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır46%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır25%
Market-based forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Alcione MilanoNovara
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt53% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
46% / 29% / 25%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Novara win (25.2%)Çifte Şans1X74.8%1.34
Üst 47% · Alt 53%Goals 2.5Alt53%1.89
Evet 52% · Hayır 48%Karşılıklı gol varEvet52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.4 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimYok
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alcione Milano win46%2.171.9546.1%
Beraberlik29%3.453.1029%
Novara win25%4.003.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alcione Milano1.49

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 47% · Alt 53%

Novara1.06

Deplasman share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 52% · Hayır 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Alcione Milano

0.25pts / match
Oynanan4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Puan1

SignalHayır recent signal

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Novara

1.00pts / match
Oynanan3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Puan3

SignalHayır recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.06
Alcione MilanoNovara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alcione Milano signalHayır recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Novara signalHayır recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Alcione Milano vs Novara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alcione Milano kazanç 46%,Beraberlik 29%,Novara kazanç 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · 2.5 Üst 47% · Current selection Alt