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Алционе Милано vs Новара

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина46%
Равен29%
Победа за госта25%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Алционе МиланоНовара
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
46% / 29% / 25%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Новара win (25.2%)Двоен шанс1X74.8%1.34
Над 47% · Под 53%Goals 2.5Под53%1.89
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Алционе Милано win46%2.171.9546.1%
Равен29%3.453.1029%
Новара win25%4.003.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алционе Милано1.49

Домакин share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 47% · Под 53%

Новара1.06

Гост share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Алционе Милано

0.25pts / match
Изиграни4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Точки1

SignalНе recent signal

Гост-context · form sequence

Новара

1.00pts / match
Изиграни3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Точки3

SignalНе recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.06
Алционе МиланоНовара
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алционе Милано signalНе recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Новара signalНе recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Алционе Милано vs Новара FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алционе Милано печеливш 46%,Равен 29%,Новара печеливш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Над 2.5 47% · Current selection Под