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Альчионе Милан vs Новара

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей25%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Альчионе МиланНовара
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 29% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Новара win (25.2%)Двойной шанс1X74.8%1.34
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Альчионе Милан win46%2.171.9546.1%
Ничья29%3.453.1029%
Новара win25%4.003.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Альчионе Милан1.49

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Новара1.06

Гости share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Альчионе Милан

0.25pts / match
Сыграно4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Баллы1

SignalНет recent signal

Гости-context · form sequence

Новара

1.00pts / match
Сыграно3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Баллы3

SignalНет recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.06
Альчионе МиланНовара
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Альчионе Милан signalНет recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Новара signalНет recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Альчионе Милан vs Новара FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Альчионе Милан выигрыш 46%,Ничья 29%,Новара выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше