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アルシオーネ・ミラノ vs ノバラ

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利46%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利25%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利46% selection probability
Projected score1–1アルシオーネ・ミラノノバラ
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
46% / 29% / 25%試合結果ホーム勝利46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ノバラ win (25.2%)ダブルチャンス1X74.8%1.34
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 52% · いいえ 48%両チーム得点はい52%1.92
2.55 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アルシオーネ・ミラノ win46%2.171.9546.1%
引き分け29%3.453.1029%
ノバラ win25%4.003.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルシオーネ・ミラノ1.49

ホーム share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

ノバラ1.06

アウェイ share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 52% · いいえ 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルシオーネ・ミラノ

0.25pts / match
試合数4Wins0Drawn1Losses3ポイント1

Signalいいえ recent signal

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ノバラ

1.00pts / match
試合数3Wins1Drawn0Losses2ポイント3

Signalいいえ recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
勝ち probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.06
アルシオーネ・ミラノノバラ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルシオーネ・ミラノ signalいいえ recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ノバラ signalいいえ recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

アルシオーネ・ミラノ vs ノバラ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルシオーネ・ミラノ 勝ち 46%,引き分け 29%,ノバラ 勝ち 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー