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ITA Italien - Serie C - Pokal · Spiel ·

Alcione Milano vs Novara

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg25%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Alcione MilanoNovara
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 29% / 25%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Novara win (25.2%)Doppelte Chance1X74.8%1.34
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alcione Milano win46%2.171.9546.1%
Unentschieden29%3.453.1029%
Novara win25%4.003.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alcione Milano1.49

Heim share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

Novara1.06

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Alcione Milano

0.25pts / match
Gespielt4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Punkte1

SignalNein recent signal

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Novara

1.00pts / match
Gespielt3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punkte3

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.06
Alcione MilanoNovara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alcione Milano signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Novara signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Alcione Milano vs Novara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alcione Milano Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 29%,Novara Gewinn 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter