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INT North Macedonia First League · Maç ·

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır64%
Beraberlik21%
Deplasman kazanır14%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt55% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
64% / 21% / 14%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shkendija Tetovo win (14.3%)Çifte Şans1X85.7%1.17
Üst 45% · Alt 55%Goals 2.5Alt55%1.82
Evet 47% · Hayır 53%Karşılıklı gol varHayır53%1.89
2.46 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.8 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapVardar Skopje winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vardar Skopje win64%1.561.3865.3%-1.3 pp
Beraberlik21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Shkendija Tetovo win14%7.146.5013.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vardar Skopje1.59

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 45% · Alt 55%

Shkendija Tetovo0.87

Deplasman share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 47% · Hayır 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Vardar Skopje

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Shkendija Tetovo

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
1.59
Expected goals
0.87
Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vardar Skopje signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shkendija Tetovo signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vardar Skopje kazanç 64%,Beraberlik 21%,Shkendija Tetovo kazanç 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · 2.5 Üst 45% · Current selection Alt