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INT Macedónia do Norte - Primeira Liga · Partida ·

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa64%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante14%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo55% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
64% / 21% / 14%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shkendija Tetovo win (14.3%)Dupla Chance1X85.7%1.17
Acima 45% · Abaixo 55%Goals 2.5Abaixo55%1.82
Sim 47% · Não 53%Ambas as equipes marcamNão53%1.89
2.46 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapVardar Skopje winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vardar Skopje win64%1.561.3865.3%-1.3 pp
Empate21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Shkendija Tetovo win14%7.146.5013.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vardar Skopje1.59

Mandante share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 45% · Abaixo 55%

Shkendija Tetovo0.87

Visitante share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 47% · Não 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Vardar Skopje

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Shkendija Tetovo

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
1.59
Expected goals
0.87
Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vardar Skopje signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shkendija Tetovo signalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vardar Skopje ganhou 64%,Empate 21%,Shkendija Tetovo ganhou 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Acima 2.5 45% · Current selection Abaixo