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INT Северна Македония - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Вардар Скопие vs Шкендия Тетово

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина64%
Равен21%
Победа за госта14%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Вардар СкопиеШкендия Тетово
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
64% / 21% / 14%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Шкендия Тетово win (14.3%)Двоен шанс1X85.7%1.17
Над 45% · Под 55%Goals 2.5Под55%1.82
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.46 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapВардар Скопие winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Вардар Скопие win64%1.561.3865.3%-1.3 pp
Равен21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Шкендия Тетово win14%7.146.5013.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Вардар Скопие1.59

Домакин share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 45% · Под 55%

Шкендия Тетово0.87

Гост share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Вардар Скопие

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Шкендия Тетово

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
1.59
Expected goals
0.87
Вардар СкопиеШкендия Тетово
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Вардар Скопие signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шкендия Тетово signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Вардар Скопие vs Шкендия Тетово FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Вардар Скопие печеливш 64%,Равен 21%,Шкендия Тетово печеливш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Над 2.5 45% · Current selection Под