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INT Macedonia Północna - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy64%
Remis21%
Wygrana gości14%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
64% / 21% / 14%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shkendija Tetovo win (14.3%)Podwójna szansa1X85.7%1.17
Powyżej 45% · Poniżej 55%Goals 2.5Poniżej55%1.82
Tak 47% · Nie 53%Obie drużyny strzeląNie53%1.89
2.46 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.8 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapVardar Skopje winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vardar Skopje win64%1.561.3865.3%-1.3 pp
Remis21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Shkendija Tetovo win14%7.146.5013.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vardar Skopje1.59

Gospodarze share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 45% · Poniżej 55%

Shkendija Tetovo0.87

Goście share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 47% · Nie 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Vardar Skopje

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Shkendija Tetovo

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
1.59
Expected goals
0.87
Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vardar Skopje signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shkendija Tetovo signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vardar Skopje wygrana 64%,Remis 21%,Shkendija Tetovo wygrana 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Powyżej 2.5 45% · Current selection Poniżej