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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Round 17 ·

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–14.03 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır67%
Beraberlik19%
Deplasman kazanır14%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır67% selection probability
Projected score3–1AftureldingGrindavik
Expected goals4.03Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst77% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
67% / 19% / 14%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grindavik win (13.7%)Çifte Şans1X86.3%1.16
Üst 77% · Alt 23%Goals 2.5Üst77%1.30
Evet 58% · Hayır 42%Karşılıklı gol varEvet58%1.72
4.03 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
12.7 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAfturelding winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win67%1.491.3665.8%+1.2 pp
Beraberlik19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
Grindavik win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding3.10

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 77% · Alt 23%

Grindavik0.93

Deplasman share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 58% · Hayır 42%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Grindavik

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
AftureldingGrindavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grindavik signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs Grindavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding kazanç 67%,Beraberlik 19%,Grindavik kazanç 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · 2.5 Üst 77% · Current selection Üst