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ISL Islanda - 1 Deild · Round 17 ·

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–14.03 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa67%
Pareggio19%
Vittoria ospite14%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa67% selection probability
Projected score3–1AftureldingGrindavik
Expected goals4.03Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra77% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
67% / 19% / 14%Esito partitaVittoria casa67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grindavik win (13.7%)Doppia Chance1X86.3%1.16
Sopra 77% · Sotto 23%Goals 2.5Sopra77%1.30
Sì 58% · No 42%Entrambe le squadre segnano58%1.72
4.03 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
12.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAfturelding winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win67%1.491.3665.8%+1.2 pp
Pareggio19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
Grindavik win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding3.10

Casa share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 77% · Sotto 23%

Grindavik0.93

Trasferta share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Grindavik

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Vinta probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
AftureldingGrindavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grindavik signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs Grindavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding vinta 67%,Pareggio 19%,Grindavik vinta 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Sopra 2.5 77% · Current selection Sopra