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ISL Islandia - 1 Deild · Round 17 ·

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–14.03 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local67%
Empate19%
Victoria visitante14%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local67% selection probability
Projected score3–1AftureldingGrindavik
Expected goals4.03Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de77% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
67% / 19% / 14%Resultado del partidoVictoria local67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grindavik win (13.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X86.3%1.16
Más de 77% · Menos de 23%Goals 2.5Más de77%1.30
Sí 58% · No 42%Ambos equipos marcan58%1.72
4.03 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
12.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAfturelding winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win67%1.491.3665.8%+1.2 pp
Empate19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
Grindavik win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding3.10

Local share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 77% · Menos de 23%

Grindavik0.93

Visitante share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Grindavik

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Ganado probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
AftureldingGrindavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grindavik signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs Grindavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding ganada 67%,Empate 19%,Grindavik ganada 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Más de 2.5 77% · Current selection Más de