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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Round 17 ·

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–14.03 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy67%
Remis19%
Wygrana gości14%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy67% selection probability
Projected score3–1AftureldingGrindavik
Expected goals4.03Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej77% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
67% / 19% / 14%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grindavik win (13.7%)Podwójna szansa1X86.3%1.16
Powyżej 77% · Poniżej 23%Goals 2.5Powyżej77%1.30
Tak 58% · Nie 42%Obie drużyny strzeląTak58%1.72
4.03 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
12.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAfturelding winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win67%1.491.3665.8%+1.2 pp
Remis19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
Grindavik win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding3.10

Gospodarze share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 77% · Poniżej 23%

Grindavik0.93

Goście share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 58% · Nie 42%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Grindavik

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
AftureldingGrindavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grindavik signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs Grindavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding wygrana 67%,Remis 19%,Grindavik wygrana 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Powyżej 2.5 77% · Current selection Powyżej