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JPN Japan J2-League · Maç ·

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır46%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır26%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Expected goals3.14Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst61% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
46% / 28% / 26%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ventforet Kofu win (26.2%)Çifte Şans1X73.8%1.36
Üst 61% · Alt 39%Goals 2.5Üst61%1.64
Evet 59% · Hayır 41%Karşılıklı gol varEvet59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.0 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapSagan Tosu winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagan Tosu win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ventforet Kofu win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagan Tosu2.01

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 61% · Alt 39%

Ventforet Kofu1.13

Deplasman share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 59% · Hayır 41%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Sagan Tosu

0.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puan2

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Ventforet Kofu

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagan Tosu signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ventforet Kofu signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagan Tosu kazanç 46%,Beraberlik 28%,Ventforet Kofu kazanç 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · 2.5 Üst 61% · Current selection Üst