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JPN Japonia - J2-League · Meci ·

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde46%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți26%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Expected goals3.14Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
46% / 28% / 26%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ventforet Kofu win (26.2%)Șansă dublă1X73.8%1.36
Peste 61% · Sub 39%Goals 2.5Peste61%1.64
Da 59% · Nu 41%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapSagan Tosu winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagan Tosu win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Egal28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ventforet Kofu win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagan Tosu2.01

Gazde share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 61% · Sub 39%

Ventforet Kofu1.13

Oaspeți share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 59% · Nu 41%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Sagan Tosu

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Ventforet Kofu

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Câștig probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagan Tosu signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ventforet Kofu signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagan Tosu câștig 46%,Egal 28%,Ventforet Kofu câștig 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Peste 2.5 61% · Current selection Peste