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JPN Japan - J2-League · Match ·

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Expected goals3.14Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 28% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ventforet Kofu win (26.2%)Dubbelchans1X73.8%1.36
Över 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Över61%1.64
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapSagan Tosu winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagan Tosu win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ventforet Kofu win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagan Tosu2.01

Hemma share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 61% · Under 39%

Ventforet Kofu1.13

Borta share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sagan Tosu

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Ventforet Kofu

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagan Tosu signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ventforet Kofu signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagan Tosu vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 28%,Ventforet Kofu vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Över 2.5 61% · Current selection Över