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JPN Japon - J2 League · Match ·

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur26%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Expected goals3.14Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 28% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ventforet Kofu win (26.2%)Double chance1X73.8%1.36
Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%Goals 2.5Plus de61%1.64
Oui 59% · Non 41%Les deux équipes marquentOui59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapSagan Tosu winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagan Tosu win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Nul28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ventforet Kofu win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagan Tosu2.01

Domicile share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%

Ventforet Kofu1.13

Extérieur share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 59% · Non 41%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sagan Tosu

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Ventforet Kofu

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagan Tosu signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ventforet Kofu signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagan Tosu victoire 46%,Nul 28%,Ventforet Kofu victoire 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Plus de 2.5 61% · Current selection Plus de