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JPN Япония - Джей-лига 2 · Матч ·

Саган Тосу vs Ванфоре Кофу

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Саган ТосуВанфоре Кофу
Expected goals3.14Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 28% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ванфоре Кофу win (26.2%)Двойной шанс1X73.8%1.36
Больше 61% · Меньше 39%Goals 2.5Больше61%1.64
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapСаган Тосу winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Саган Тосу win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ванфоре Кофу win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Саган Тосу2.01

Хозяева share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 61% · Меньше 39%

Ванфоре Кофу1.13

Гости share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Саган Тосу

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ванфоре Кофу

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Саган ТосуВанфоре Кофу
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Саган Тосу signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ванфоре Кофу signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Саган Тосу vs Ванфоре Кофу FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Саган Тосу выигрыш 46%,Ничья 28%,Ванфоре Кофу выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · ТБ 2.5 61% · Current selection Больше