MatchFormula Maç bul
Menu
UTC+8
Saat dilimiAsia/Shanghai
Türkçe
INT Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · Maç ·

FC Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır56%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır22%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır56% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Melbourne SrbijaNorth Geelong
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt51% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
56% / 22% / 22%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Çifte Şans1278%1.28
Üst 49% · Alt 51%Goals 2.5Alt51%1.96
Evet 48% · Hayır 52%Karşılıklı gol varHayır52%1.92
2.63 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapNorth Geelong winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Melbourne Srbija win56%1.791.6255.2%+0.8 pp
Beraberlik22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
North Geelong win22%4.553.9022.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Melbourne Srbija1.77

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 49% · Alt 51%

North Geelong0.86

Deplasman share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 48% · Hayır 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FC Melbourne Srbija

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi won 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

North Geelong

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.77
Expected goals
0.86
FC Melbourne SrbijaNorth Geelong
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Melbourne Srbija signalEv Sahibi won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Geelong signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Melbourne Srbija kazanç 56%,Beraberlik 22%,North Geelong kazanç 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · 2.5 Üst 49% · Current selection Alt