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INT Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · Zápas ·

FC Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich56%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostí22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich56% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Melbourne SrbijaNorth Geelong
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej51% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
56% / 22% / 22%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Dvojitá šanca1278%1.28
Viac 49% · Menej 51%Goals 2.5Menej51%1.96
Áno 48% · Nie 52%Oba tímy skórujúNie52%1.92
2.63 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapNorth Geelong winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Melbourne Srbija win56%1.791.6255.2%+0.8 pp
Remíza22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
North Geelong win22%4.553.9022.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Melbourne Srbija1.77

Domáci share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 49% · Menej 51%

North Geelong0.86

Hostia share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FC Melbourne Srbija

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci won 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

North Geelong

0.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.77
Expected goals
0.86
FC Melbourne SrbijaNorth Geelong
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Melbourne Srbija signalDomáci won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Geelong signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Melbourne Srbija výhra 56%,Remíza 22%,North Geelong výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Viac 2.5 49% · Current selection Menej