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FRA France Ligue 2 · Round 3 ·

Montpellier vs Boulogne

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır47%
Beraberlik32%
Deplasman kazanır21%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır47% selection probability
Projected score1–1MontpellierBoulogne
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt70% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
47% / 32% / 21%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boulogne win (20.9%)Çifte Şans1X79.1%1.26
Üst 30% · Alt 70%Goals 2.5Alt70%1.43
Evet 33% · Hayır 67%Karşılıklı gol varHayır67%1.49
1.90 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.2 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Montpellier win47%2.13
Beraberlik32%3.13
Boulogne win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montpellier1.31

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 30% · Alt 70%

Boulogne0.59

Deplasman share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 33% · Hayır 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Montpellier

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Boulogne

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
0.59
MontpellierBoulogne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montpellier signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boulogne signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Montpellier vs Boulogne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montpellier kazanç 47%,Beraberlik 32%,Boulogne kazanç 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · 2.5 Üst 30% · Current selection Alt