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FRA フランス リーグ・ドゥ · Round 3 ·

モンペリエ vs ブローニュ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利47%
引き分け32%
アウェイ勝利21%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利47% selection probability
Projected score1–1モンペリエブローニュ
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー70% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
47% / 32% / 21%試合結果ホーム勝利47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ブローニュ win (20.9%)ダブルチャンス1X79.1%1.26
オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%Goals 2.5アンダー70%1.43
はい 33% · いいえ 67%両チーム得点いいえ67%1.49
1.90 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
モンペリエ win47%2.13
引き分け32%3.13
ブローニュ win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

モンペリエ1.31

ホーム share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%

ブローニュ0.59

アウェイ share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 33% · いいえ 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

モンペリエ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ブローニュ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
勝ち probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
0.59
モンペリエブローニュ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01モンペリエ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ブローニュ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

モンペリエ vs ブローニュ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

モンペリエ 勝ち 47%,引き分け 32%,ブローニュ 勝ち 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · オーバー 2.5 30% · Current selection アンダー