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FRA Γαλλία - Λιγκ 2 · Round 3 ·

Μονπελιέ vs Μπουλόν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου47%
Ισοπαλία32%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου21%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου47% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΜονπελιέΜπουλόν
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω70% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
47% / 32% / 21%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μπουλόν win (20.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X79.1%1.26
Άνω 30% · Κάτω 70%Goals 2.5Κάτω70%1.43
Ναι 33% · Όχι 67%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67%1.49
1.90 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μονπελιέ win47%2.13
Ισοπαλία32%3.13
Μπουλόν win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μονπελιέ1.31

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 30% · Κάτω 70%

Μπουλόν0.59

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 33% · Όχι 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μονπελιέ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπουλόν

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
0.59
ΜονπελιέΜπουλόν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μονπελιέ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπουλόν signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Μονπελιέ vs Μπουλόν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μονπελιέ νίκη 47%,Ισοπαλία 32%,Μπουλόν νίκη 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Άνω 2.5 30% · Current selection Κάτω