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FRA Франция - Лига 2 · Round 3 ·

Монпелье vs Булонь

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев47%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев47% selection probability
Projected score1–1МонпельеБулонь
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше70% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
47% / 32% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Булонь win (20.9%)Двойной шанс1X79.1%1.26
Больше 30% · Меньше 70%Goals 2.5Меньше70%1.43
Да 33% · Нет 67%Обе забьютНет67%1.49
1.90 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Монпелье win47%2.13
Ничья32%3.13
Булонь win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Монпелье1.31

Хозяева share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 30% · Меньше 70%

Булонь0.59

Гости share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 33% · Нет 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Монпелье

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Булонь

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
0.59
МонпельеБулонь
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Монпелье signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Булонь signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Монпелье vs Булонь FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Монпелье выигрыш 47%,Ничья 32%,Булонь выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · ТБ 2.5 30% · Current selection Меньше