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FRA Francja - Ligue 2 · Round 3 ·

Montpellier vs Boulogne

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy47%
Remis32%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy47% selection probability
Projected score1–1MontpellierBoulogne
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej70% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
47% / 32% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boulogne win (20.9%)Podwójna szansa1X79.1%1.26
Powyżej 30% · Poniżej 70%Goals 2.5Poniżej70%1.43
Tak 33% · Nie 67%Obie drużyny strzeląNie67%1.49
1.90 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Montpellier win47%2.13
Remis32%3.13
Boulogne win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montpellier1.31

Gospodarze share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 30% · Poniżej 70%

Boulogne0.59

Goście share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 33% · Nie 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Montpellier

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Boulogne

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
0.59
MontpellierBoulogne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montpellier signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boulogne signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Montpellier vs Boulogne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montpellier wygrana 47%,Remis 32%,Boulogne wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Powyżej 2.5 30% · Current selection Poniżej