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QAT Qatar - Stars League · Match ·

Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Ahli Doha

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–14.26 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger57%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Al-Sadd SCAl-Ahli Doha
Expected goals4.26Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över80% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
57% / 22% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Ahli Doha win (21.5%)Dubbelchans1X78.5%1.27
Över 80% · Under 20%Goals 2.5Över80%1.25
Ja 71% · Nej 29%Båda lagen gör målJa71%1.41
4.26 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Al-Sadd SC win57%1.75
Oavgjort22%4.55
Al-Ahli Doha win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Sadd SC2.86

Hemma share of expected goals 67.1%

Total expected goals4.26Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 80% · Under 20%

Al-Ahli Doha1.40

Borta share of expected goals 32.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 71% · Nej 29%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Al-Sadd SC

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Al-Ahli Doha

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
13
Points from supplied form
11
2.86
Expected goals
1.40
Al-Sadd SCAl-Ahli Doha
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Sadd SC signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Ahli Doha signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Ahli Doha FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Sadd SC vunnen 57%,Oavgjort 22%,Al-Ahli Doha vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.26 · Över 2.5 80% · Current selection Över