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QAT Qatar - Stars League · Round 22 ·

Al Duhail vs Al-Sailiya SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger65%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger15%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al DuhailAl-Sailiya SC
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
65% / 20% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Sailiya SC win (14.7%)Dubbelchans1X85.3%1.17
Över 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Över51%1.96
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målJa50%2.00
2.70 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAl Duhail winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Duhail win65%1.541.3665.8%-0.8 pp
Oavgjort20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Al-Sailiya SC win15%6.676.2514.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Duhail1.79

Hemma share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 51% · Under 49%

Al-Sailiya SC0.91

Borta share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Al Duhail

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Al-Sailiya SC

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
7
1.79
Expected goals
0.91
Al DuhailAl-Sailiya SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Duhail signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Sailiya SC signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Al Duhail vs Al-Sailiya SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Duhail vunnen 65%,Oavgjort 20%,Al-Sailiya SC vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Över 2.5 51% · Current selection Över