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QAT Qatar - Stars League · Round 22 ·

Al Duhail vs Al-Sailiya SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst65%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst15%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al DuhailAl-Sailiya SC
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
65% / 20% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Sailiya SC win (14.7%)Dubbele Kans1X85.3%1.17
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.70 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAl Duhail winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Duhail win65%1.541.3665.8%-0.8 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Al-Sailiya SC win15%6.676.2514.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Duhail1.79

Thuis share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Al-Sailiya SC0.91

Uit share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Al Duhail

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Al-Sailiya SC

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
7
1.79
Expected goals
0.91
Al DuhailAl-Sailiya SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Duhail signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Sailiya SC signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Al Duhail vs Al-Sailiya SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Duhail gewonnen 65%,Gelijkspel 20%,Al-Sailiya SC gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven