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QAT Qatar - Stars League · Partita ·

Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Ahli Doha

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–14.27 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa57%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Al-Sadd SCAl-Ahli Doha
Expected goals4.27Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra80% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
57% / 22% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Ahli Doha win (21.5%)Doppia Chance1X78.5%1.27
Sopra 80% · Sotto 20%Goals 2.5Sopra80%1.25
Sì 71% · No 29%Entrambe le squadre segnano71%1.41
4.27 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Al-Sadd SC win57%1.75
Pareggio22%4.55
Al-Ahli Doha win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Sadd SC2.87

Casa share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals4.27Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 80% · Sotto 20%

Al-Ahli Doha1.40

Trasferta share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 71% · No 29%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Al-Sadd SC

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Al-Ahli Doha

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
13
Points from supplied form
11
2.87
Expected goals
1.40
Al-Sadd SCAl-Ahli Doha
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Sadd SC signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Ahli Doha signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Ahli Doha FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Sadd SC vinta 57%,Pareggio 22%,Al-Ahli Doha vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Sopra 2.5 80% · Current selection Sopra