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QAT Qatar Stars League · Maç ·

Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Ahli Doha

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–14.27 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır57%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır21%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Al-Sadd SCAl-Ahli Doha
Expected goals4.27Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst80% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
57% / 22% / 21%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Ahli Doha win (21.5%)Çifte Şans1X78.5%1.27
Üst 80% · Alt 20%Goals 2.5Üst80%1.25
Evet 71% · Hayır 29%Karşılıklı gol varEvet71%1.41
4.27 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
9.2 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Al-Sadd SC win57%1.75
Beraberlik22%4.55
Al-Ahli Doha win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Sadd SC2.87

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals4.27Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 80% · Alt 20%

Al-Ahli Doha1.40

Deplasman share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 71% · Hayır 29%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Al-Sadd SC

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Al-Ahli Doha

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
21%
13
Points from supplied form
11
2.87
Expected goals
1.40
Al-Sadd SCAl-Ahli Doha
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Sadd SC signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Ahli Doha signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Ahli Doha FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Sadd SC kazanç 57%,Beraberlik 22%,Al-Ahli Doha kazanç 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · 2.5 Üst 80% · Current selection Üst