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ARG Argentina - Nacional B · Match ·

Atletico Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.15 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger26%
Oavgjort40%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastOavgjortTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callOavgjort40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico RafaelaTristan Suarez
Expected goals1.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under89% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej81% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
26% / 40% / 33%MatchresultatOavgjort40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Rafaela win (26.5%)DubbelchansX273.5%1.36
Över 11% · Under 89%Goals 2.5Under89%1.12
Ja 19% · Nej 81%Båda lagen gör målNej81%1.23
1.15 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Atletico Rafaela win26%3.85
Oavgjort40%2.50
Tristan Suarez win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Rafaela0.50

Hemma share of expected goals 43.5%

Total expected goals1.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 11% · Under 89%

Tristan Suarez0.65

Borta share of expected goals 56.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 19% · Nej 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Atletico Rafaela

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Tristan Suarez

3.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poäng15

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
15
0.50
Expected goals
0.65
Atletico RafaelaTristan Suarez
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Rafaela signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tristan Suarez signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 40%.

Match questions

Atletico Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Oavgjort · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Rafaela vunnen 26%,Oavgjort 40%,Tristan Suarez vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.15 · Över 2.5 11% · Current selection Under