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ARG Argentina - Nacional B · Partido ·

Atlético Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.15 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local26%
Empate40%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastEmpateTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEmpate40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atlético RafaelaTristan Suarez
Expected goals1.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de89% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo81% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
26% / 40% / 33%Resultado del partidoEmpate40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlético Rafaela win (26.5%)Doble OportunidadX273.5%1.36
Más de 11% · Menos de 89%Goals 2.5Menos de89%1.12
Sí 19% · No 81%Ambos equipos marcanNo81%1.23
1.15 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Atlético Rafaela win26%3.85
Empate40%2.50
Tristan Suarez win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlético Rafaela0.50

Local share of expected goals 43.5%

Total expected goals1.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 11% · Menos de 89%

Tristan Suarez0.65

Visitante share of expected goals 56.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 19% · No 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Atlético Rafaela

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Tristan Suarez

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
15
0.50
Expected goals
0.65
Atlético RafaelaTristan Suarez
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlético Rafaela signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tristan Suarez signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 40%.

Match questions

Atlético Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Empate · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlético Rafaela ganada 26%,Empate 40%,Tristan Suarez ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.15 · Más de 2.5 11% · Current selection Menos de