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ARG Аргентина - Примера B Насьональ · Матч ·

Атлетико Рафаэла vs Тристан Суарес

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.15 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев26%
Ничья40%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastНичьяTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callНичья40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Атлетико РафаэлаТристан Суарес
Expected goals1.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше89% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет81% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
26% / 40% / 33%Исход матчаНичья40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Атлетико Рафаэла win (26.5%)Двойной шансX273.5%1.36
Больше 11% · Меньше 89%Goals 2.5Меньше89%1.12
Да 19% · Нет 81%Обе забьютНет81%1.23
1.15 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Атлетико Рафаэла win26%3.85
Ничья40%2.50
Тристан Суарес win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Атлетико Рафаэла0.50

Хозяева share of expected goals 43.5%

Total expected goals1.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 11% · Меньше 89%

Тристан Суарес0.65

Гости share of expected goals 56.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 19% · Нет 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Атлетико Рафаэла

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Тристан Суарес

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
15
0.50
Expected goals
0.65
Атлетико РафаэлаТристан Суарес
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Атлетико Рафаэла signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Тристан Суарес signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 40%.

Match questions

Атлетико Рафаэла vs Тристан Суарес FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ничья · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Атлетико Рафаэла выигрыш 26%,Ничья 40%,Тристан Суарес выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.15 · ТБ 2.5 11% · Current selection Меньше