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ARG アルゼンチン ナシオナルB · 試合 ·

アトレティコ・ラファエラ vs トリスタンスアレス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.15 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利26%
引き分け40%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecast引き分けTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call引き分け40% selection probability
Projected score1–1アトレティコ・ラファエラトリスタンスアレス
Expected goals1.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー89% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ81% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
26% / 40% / 33%試合結果引き分け40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アトレティコ・ラファエラ win (26.5%)ダブルチャンスX273.5%1.36
オーバー 11% · アンダー 89%Goals 2.5アンダー89%1.12
はい 19% · いいえ 81%両チーム得点いいえ81%1.23
1.15 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.8 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アトレティコ・ラファエラ win26%3.85
引き分け40%2.50
トリスタンスアレス win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アトレティコ・ラファエラ0.50

ホーム share of expected goals 43.5%

Total expected goals1.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 11% · アンダー 89%

トリスタンスアレス0.65

アウェイ share of expected goals 56.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 19% · いいえ 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アトレティコ・ラファエラ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

トリスタンスアレス

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
15
0.50
Expected goals
0.65
アトレティコ・ラファエラトリスタンスアレス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アトレティコ・ラファエラ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02トリスタンスアレス signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 40%.

Match questions

アトレティコ・ラファエラ vs トリスタンスアレス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 引き分け · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アトレティコ・ラファエラ 勝ち 26%,引き分け 40%,トリスタンスアレス 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.15 · オーバー 2.5 11% · Current selection アンダー