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ARG アルゼンチン ナシオナルB · 試合 ·

フェロカリール・ミッドランド vs ヌエボチカゴ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–01.69 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利50%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利17%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利50% selection probability
Projected score1–0フェロカリール・ミッドランドヌエボチカゴ
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー76% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
50% / 33% / 17%試合結果ホーム勝利50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ヌエボチカゴ win (17.5%)ダブルチャンス1X82.5%1.21
オーバー 24% · アンダー 76%Goals 2.5アンダー76%1.32
はい 25% · いいえ 75%両チーム得点いいえ75%1.33
1.69 total expected goals正確なスコア1–0
8.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
フェロカリール・ミッドランド win50%2.00
引き分け33%3.03
ヌエボチカゴ win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

フェロカリール・ミッドランド1.26

ホーム share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 24% · アンダー 76%

ヌエボチカゴ0.43

アウェイ share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitはい 25% · いいえ 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

フェロカリール・ミッドランド

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヌエボチカゴ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
勝ち probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.26
Expected goals
0.43
フェロカリール・ミッドランドヌエボチカゴ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01フェロカリール・ミッドランド signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヌエボチカゴ signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

フェロカリール・ミッドランド vs ヌエボチカゴ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–0 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

フェロカリール・ミッドランド 勝ち 50%,引き分け 33%,ヌエボチカゴ 勝ち 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · オーバー 2.5 24% · Current selection アンダー