Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 33% / 17%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nueva Chicago win (17.5%)Double chance1X82.5%1.21
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Yes 25% · No 75%Both teams scoreNo75%1.33
1.69 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0——
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Ferrocarril Midland win50%2.00
Draw33%3.03
Nueva Chicago win17%5.88
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 74.6%
Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%
Away share of expected goals 25.4%
Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 25% · No 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFerrocarril Midland
LDDWD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchNueva Chicago
LLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Win probability excluding draw
17%6
Points from supplied form
31.26
Expected goals
0.43Ferrocarril MidlandNueva Chicago
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–0 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ferrocarril Midland win 50%，Draw 33%，Nueva Chicago win 17%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.69 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under。