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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Fixture ·

Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs Defensores de Belgrano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.60 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw35%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Ciudad de BolivarDefensores de Belgrano
Expected goals1.60Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 35% / 23%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores de Belgrano win (23.5%)Double chance1X76.5%1.31
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 28% · No 72%Both teams scoreNo72%1.39
1.60 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Club Ciudad de Bolivar win42%2.38
Draw35%2.86
Defensores de Belgrano win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Ciudad de Bolivar1.03

Home share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals1.60Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Defensores de Belgrano0.57

Away share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Club Ciudad de Bolivar

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Defensores de Belgrano

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.03
Expected goals
0.57
Club Ciudad de BolivarDefensores de Belgrano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Ciudad de Bolivar signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores de Belgrano signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs Defensores de Belgrano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Ciudad de Bolivar win 42%,Draw 35%,Defensores de Belgrano win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.60 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under