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ARG Argentina - Nacional B · Meci ·

Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–01.69 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde50%
Egal33%
Victorie oaspeți17%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde50% selection probability
Projected score1–0Ferrocarril MidlandNueva Chicago
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub76% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
50% / 33% / 17%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nueva Chicago win (17.5%)Șansă dublă1X82.5%1.21
Peste 24% · Sub 76%Goals 2.5Sub76%1.32
Da 25% · Nu 75%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu75%1.33
1.69 total expected goalsScor corect1–0
8.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Ferrocarril Midland win50%2.00
Egal33%3.03
Nueva Chicago win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferrocarril Midland1.26

Gazde share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 24% · Sub 76%

Nueva Chicago0.43

Oaspeți share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitDa 25% · Nu 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Ferrocarril Midland

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Nueva Chicago

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Câștig probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.26
Expected goals
0.43
Ferrocarril MidlandNueva Chicago
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferrocarril Midland signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nueva Chicago signalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–0 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferrocarril Midland câștig 50%,Egal 33%,Nueva Chicago câștig 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · Peste 2.5 24% · Current selection Sub