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ARG Argentina - Nacional B · Meci ·

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.79 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde38%
Egal34%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Almirante BrownDeportivo Madryn
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub73% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
38% / 34% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Madryn win (28.8%)Șansă dublă1X71.2%1.40
Peste 27% · Sub 73%Goals 2.5Sub73%1.37
Da 35% · Nu 65%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65%1.54
1.79 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Almirante Brown win38%2.63
Egal34%2.94
Deportivo Madryn win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Almirante Brown1.01

Gazde share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 27% · Sub 73%

Deportivo Madryn0.78

Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 35% · Nu 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Almirante Brown

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Deportivo Madryn

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.01
Expected goals
0.78
Almirante BrownDeportivo Madryn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Almirante Brown signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Madryn signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Almirante Brown câștig 38%,Egal 34%,Deportivo Madryn câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · Peste 2.5 27% · Current selection Sub