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ARG Argentyna - Nacional B · Mecz ·

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.79 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy38%
Remis34%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Almirante BrownDeportivo Madryn
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej73% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
38% / 34% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Madryn win (28.8%)Podwójna szansa1X71.2%1.40
Powyżej 27% · Poniżej 73%Goals 2.5Poniżej73%1.37
Tak 35% · Nie 65%Obie drużyny strzeląNie65%1.54
1.79 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Almirante Brown win38%2.63
Remis34%2.94
Deportivo Madryn win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Almirante Brown1.01

Gospodarze share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 27% · Poniżej 73%

Deportivo Madryn0.78

Goście share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 35% · Nie 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Almirante Brown

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Deportivo Madryn

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.01
Expected goals
0.78
Almirante BrownDeportivo Madryn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Almirante Brown signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Madryn signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Almirante Brown wygrana 38%,Remis 34%,Deportivo Madryn wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · Powyżej 2.5 27% · Current selection Poniżej