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ARG Argentína - Nacional B · Zápas ·

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–11.79 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich38%
Remíza34%
Výhra hostí29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Almirante BrownDeportivo Madryn
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej73% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
38% / 34% / 29%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Madryn win (28.8%)Dvojitá šanca1X71.2%1.40
Viac 27% · Menej 73%Goals 2.5Menej73%1.37
Áno 35% · Nie 65%Oba tímy skórujúNie65%1.54
1.79 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Almirante Brown win38%2.63
Remíza34%2.94
Deportivo Madryn win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Almirante Brown1.01

Domáci share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 27% · Menej 73%

Deportivo Madryn0.78

Hostia share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 35% · Nie 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Almirante Brown

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Deportivo Madryn

2.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.01
Expected goals
0.78
Almirante BrownDeportivo Madryn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Almirante Brown signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Madryn signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Almirante Brown výhra 38%,Remíza 34%,Deportivo Madryn výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · Viac 2.5 27% · Current selection Menej