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ARG Argentinië - Nacional B · Wedstrijd ·

Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–01.69 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst50%
Gelijkspel33%
Uitwinst17%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst50% selection probability
Projected score1–0Ferrocarril MidlandNueva Chicago
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
50% / 33% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nueva Chicago win (17.5%)Dubbele Kans1X82.5%1.21
Boven 24% · Onder 76%Goals 2.5Onder76%1.32
Ja 25% · Nee 75%Beide teams scorenNee75%1.33
1.69 total expected goalsExacte score1–0
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Ferrocarril Midland win50%2.00
Gelijkspel33%3.03
Nueva Chicago win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferrocarril Midland1.26

Thuis share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 24% · Onder 76%

Nueva Chicago0.43

Uit share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 25% · Nee 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ferrocarril Midland

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Nueva Chicago

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.26
Expected goals
0.43
Ferrocarril MidlandNueva Chicago
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferrocarril Midland signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nueva Chicago signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–0 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferrocarril Midland gewonnen 50%,Gelijkspel 33%,Nueva Chicago gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · Boven 2.5 24% · Current selection Onder