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SVN Slovenien - 2. SNL · Match ·

NK Krka vs NK Bistrica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.79 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger27%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger47%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger47% selection probability
Projected score1–2NK KrkaNK Bistrica
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
27% / 26% / 47%MatchresultatBortaseger47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dubbelchans1274%1.35
Över 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Över53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.79 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapNK Bistrica winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Krka win27%3.703.2527.3%-0.3 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp
NK Bistrica win47%2.131.9146.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Krka0.99

Hemma share of expected goals 35.5%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 53% · Under 47%

NK Bistrica1.80

Borta share of expected goals 64.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

NK Krka

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

NK Bistrica

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.99
Expected goals
1.80
NK KrkaNK Bistrica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Krka signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Bistrica signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

NK Krka vs NK Bistrica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Krka vunnen 27%,Oavgjort 26%,NK Bistrica vunnen 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Över 2.5 53% · Current selection Över