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SVN Slovenien - 2. SNL · Match ·

ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger56%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger20%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger56% selection probability
Projected score2–1ND BeltinciNK Rudar Velenje
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
56% / 24% / 20%MatchresultatHemmaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NK Rudar Velenje win (20%)Dubbelchans1X80%1.25
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.51 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapND Beltinci winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ND Beltinci win56%1.791.6056.1%-0.1 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
NK Rudar Velenje win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ND Beltinci1.62

Hemma share of expected goals 64.5%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

NK Rudar Velenje0.89

Borta share of expected goals 35.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

ND Beltinci

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

NK Rudar Velenje

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.62
Expected goals
0.89
ND BeltinciNK Rudar Velenje
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ND Beltinci signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Rudar Velenje signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ND Beltinci vunnen 56%,Oavgjort 24%,NK Rudar Velenje vunnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under