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SVN Slovenia 2. SNL · Kamp ·

NK Krka vs NK Bistrica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.79 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier27%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier47%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier47% selection probability
Projected score1–2NK KrkaNK Bistrica
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
27% / 26% / 47%KampresultatBorteseier47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dobbel sjanse1274%1.35
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.79 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapNK Bistrica winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Krka win27%3.703.2527.3%-0.3 pp
Uavgjort26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp
NK Bistrica win47%2.131.9146.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Krka0.99

Hjemme share of expected goals 35.5%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

NK Bistrica1.80

Borte share of expected goals 64.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

NK Krka

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

NK Bistrica

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalBorte unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.99
Expected goals
1.80
NK KrkaNK Bistrica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Krka signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Bistrica signalBorte unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

NK Krka vs NK Bistrica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Krka vunnet 27%,Uavgjort 26%,NK Bistrica vunnet 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over