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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Mainz vs Paris FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger48%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger28%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger48% selection probability
Projected score2–1MainzParis FC
Expected goals3.27Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
48% / 24% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Dubbelchans1276.1%1.31
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mainz win48%2.081.8548.7%
Oavgjort24%4.173.7524%
Paris FC win28%3.573.3027.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mainz1.86

Hemma share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.27Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

Paris FC1.41

Borta share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Mainz

1.67pts / match
Spelade3Wins1Drawn2Losses0Poäng5

SignalHemma unbeaten 3/3

Borta-context · form sequence

Paris FC

2.00pts / match
Spelade2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.86
Expected goals
1.41
MainzParis FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mainz signalHemma unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paris FC signalHemma clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mainz vs Paris FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mainz vunnen 48%,Oavgjort 24%,Paris FC vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över