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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Mainz vs Paris FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score2–1MainzParis FC
Expected goals3.27Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 24% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Double chance1276.1%1.31
Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%Goals 2.5Plus de63%1.59
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mainz win48%2.081.8548.7%
Nul24%4.173.7524%
Paris FC win28%3.573.3027.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mainz1.86

Domicile share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.27Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%

Paris FC1.41

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Mainz

1.67pts / match
Joués3Wins1Drawn2Losses0Points5

SignalDomicile unbeaten 3/3

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Paris FC

2.00pts / match
Joués2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.86
Expected goals
1.41
MainzParis FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mainz signalDomicile unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paris FC signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mainz vs Paris FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mainz victoire 48%,Nul 24%,Paris FC victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Plus de 2.5 63% · Current selection Plus de